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Data: Attendance Areas' Residents per Kindergarten Seat

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The discussion about Clarendon AA got me thinking about attendance area schools and what their real capacity is.

I've always found SFUSD's map below to be an odd way of looking at AA capacity. To calculate AA capacity, it uses all kindergarten seats that are geographically in the AA, including citywide programs.   For Clarendon's AA, which contains Alice Fong Yu and Rooftop, this is clearly misleading. (Source: SFUSD's 3rd Annual Report on School Assignment, page 39)

Below is the capacity for each attendance area, based on AA seats alone, and an edited map. Who's the most screwed? Residents of Webster, Cleveland and Monroe AAs, each with over 100 residents and just 22 AA spots. None of these AAs are CTIP1, so they have no priority elsewhere.


Edited:  Kindergarten applicants living in each attendance area relative to
kindergarten capacity of attendance area seats
Do attendance areas have the capacity to accomodate Kindergarten residents? Map.

SCHOOLS WITH AA RESIDENTS  > 200% of AA SEATS, 2013-14

SCHOOLAA Resident
% of AA seats
AA residents AA
seats
Citywide programs
in AA (seats)
Approx
how much
of the AA is CTIP1?
Webster651%143 22ImmS (44), Carmichael (SB 22, FB 22, GE 44)
Cleveland594%131 22SB (44)
Monroe506%111 22CB (22), ImmS (44), SF Community (33),
Moscone465%102 22CB (22), SB (22), Marshall (ImmS 44)All
Bryant422%93 22SB (22)Almost all
Carver402%177 44
All
Serra396%87 22SB (22)
Drew364%160 44
Under 1/4
Sutro354%78 22CB (22),
Lilienthal (ImmK 22, GE 66)

Harte354%78 22ImmS (22)Almost all
Starr King324%71 22ImmM (44)Almost all
Flynn293%129 44ImmS (44),
Revere (ImmS 40, GE 20), 

Visitacion Valley284%187 66CB (22)Half
Malcolm X270%54 20
Almost all
Taylor265%117 44CB (44), SB (22)
Alvarado262%115 44ImmS (44)A few blocks
Clarendon260%114 44JBBP (44), AFY (66), Rooftop (66)
Longfellow260%114 44SB (22), FB (22?)
Hillcrest244%98 40CB (20), SB (20)
Chavez219%96 44SB (44), Buena Vista (60), Almost all
Parks208%83 40JBBP (40)Half
Muir206%41 20SB (20)Half


SCHOOLS WITH AA APPLICANTS BETWEEN 120-199% of AA SEATS, 2013-14

SCHOOLAA
Resident
% of
AA seats
AA
 residents 
AA
seats
Citywide programs
in AA (seats)
Approx
how much
of the AA is
CTIP1?
Glen Park198%87 44SB (22), Fairmount (66)
New Traditions195%86 44
a quarter
Sheridan180%79 44

Tenderloin177%117 66
Half
Sanchez171%75 44SB (22)a quarter
Parker164%36 22CB
Milk161%71 44
Under 1/4
Stevenson158%104 66/88*Lawton (66)
McCoppin147%65 44CB (22)
Miraloma144%86 60

Argonne141%93 66/88*

El Dorado141%93 66

Sunnyside135%89 66

Ulloa129%85 66CB (22)
Guadalupe129%85 66SB (22)
Alamo129%114 88

Ortega128%56 44ImmM (22)
Spring Valley123%27 22CB (22), SB (22)
Lau120%53 44CB (66)
Cobb120%53 44

* Argonne and Stevenson alternate between 66 students one year and 88 the next.
   In 2013, both schools had 66 students.


SCHOOLS WITH AA APPLICANTS  < 120% OF AA SEATS, 2013-14

SCHOOLAA
Resident
% of
AA seats
AA
 residents 
AA
seats
Citywide programs
in AA (seats)
Approx
how much
 of the AA is
CTIP1?
Lafayette119%105 88

West Portal119%78 66ImmC (33)
Garfield118%26 22ImmC (22)
Wo116%51 44

Grattan115%76 66

Sherman113%75 66Montessori (44)
Jefferson113%99 88

Peabody111%49 44

Sloat106%70 66

Key99%87 88

Sunset87%57 66

Feinstein85%75 88

McKinley82%54 66CIS (66)
Redding82%36 44
a quarter
Chin76%17 22CB (22)
Lakeshore69%61 88


Total K seats
2666
AA seats
1826 
citywide seats

CB - Chinese biliteracy pathway, for native Chinese speakers
SB - Spanish biliteracy pathway, for native Spanish speakers
ImmC - Cantonese Immersion
ImmM - Mandarin Immersion
ImmS - Spanish Immersion
JBBP - Japanese Bilingual Bicultural Program
FB - Filipino FLES
How the numbers were calculated:
AA applicants =  % from the SFUSD map x the number of seats at all schools in the AA
AA Resident % of AA seats = AA applicants/AA seats



Sources: 
Five year Demand Comparison - 2005-2010 - for K-12 schools that used to be on PPSSF's Historical Demand page, enrollment  data from Dataquest, and the size and racial breakdown of schools' individual K classrooms from California Department of Education's Staff and course data.
CTIP1 area for AA:  Above map and the revised CTIP1 areas from the 8/2013 post of Rachel Norton's blog.


Why so many citywide seats and so few AA seats?

Language pathways account for 80% of these citywide seats and a third of all kindergarten seats. Of the citywide seats, only 40% are open to monolingual English speakers: about 340 general education seats at Montessori and K-8 schools, and 400 seats for JBBP, Filipino FLES, and English-only speakers in language immersion.

Why so many language pathway seats? 

Three words: Lau v. Nichols.

In 1974, in this landmark civil rights case, the Supreme Court ruled that SFUSD was violating the civil rights of 1,800 monolingual Chinese students by teaching only in English, without any special effort to help them learn English. SFUSD agreed to provide bilingual education as part of the Lau consent decree.  The effects of this ruling are still with us today in the Lau Action Plan

SFUSD still has many students whose first language is not English, and as of 2009, it was still being monitored by the Department of Justice to make sure it was in compliance with the Lau consent decree. 

Next up:  Racially homogeneous elementary schools. Looking at the latest K-2 data, the number of elementary schools with over 60% of their K-2 enrollment from a single ethnic/racial group has declined by 5 in the last 2 years. 


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